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We estimate your monthly electricity consumption (kWh) from your bill using state average electricity rates from US EIA monthly data. We then divide annual consumption by the product of state peak sun hours (from NREL's PVWatts state database) times 365 times a 0.8 efficiency factor to arrive at the required array size in kW.
Based on EnergySage's quarterly state-by-state cost-per-watt averages, derived from their installer quote marketplace. A multiplier is applied for non-standard roof types (tile, metal, flat) based on industry-reported install complexity premiums.
We assume the system offsets 90% of your annual electricity consumption, accounting for system losses. Savings are calculated at your state's current electricity rate with a 3% annual escalator, consistent with EIA long-term electricity price projections.
Net cost after the federal ITC (30%) is subtracted from cumulative savings over 25 years. Savings are escalated at 3% per year for electricity price inflation and reduced at 0.5% per year for panel degradation, consistent with industry-standard assumptions.